1394: IMPETUS4CHANGE: Improving Near-Term Climate Predictions for Social Transformation

Principal investigator: Daniela Matei

Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie (Community project)

Project abstract

Report 1/2024 to 12/2024
Report 1/2025 to 12/2025
Report 1/2026 to 12/2026

Publications

• DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-03145-9, Krüger, J., Kjellsson, J., Lohmann, K. et al. Improved European heat event simulation in eddy-resolving climate models. Commun Earth Environ 7, 123 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-03145-9
• DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02422-x, Liu, Q., Bader, J., Jungclaus, J.H. and D. Matei. More extreme summertime North Atlantic Oscillation under climate change. Commun Earth Environ 6, 474 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02422-x
• DOI: 10.34133/olar.0096., A. Hu, I. Richter, Y. Okumura, N. Burls, N. Keenlyside, R. Parfitt, K. Bellomo, A. Bellucci, R. Farneti, A. Fedorov, B. S. Ferster, C. He, W. Kim, Q. Li, D. Matei (2025): Unraveling the Complexity of Global Climate Dynamics: Interactions among El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, and Tropical Basins Across Different Timescales. SPJ Ocean-Land-Atmos. Res. 2025;4: Article 0096.
• DOI: 10.1029/2024GL111895, Wallberg, L. .*, Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Matei, D., D. Krieger and Müller, W. A. (2024): Anomalously warm european summers predicted more accurately by considering sub‐decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2024GL111895.
• DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1-2024, Wallberg, L. .*, Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Matei, D., and Müller, W. A. (2024): Extremely Warm European Summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic Ocean heat accumulation. Earth System Dynamics 15 (1), 1-14.
• DOI: doi:10.1029/2023JD039992., E. Manzini, B. Ayarzagüena, N. Calvo and D. Matei, 2023: Nonlinearity and Asymmetry of the ENSO Stratospheric Pathway to North Atlantic and Europe, Revisited. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129: e2023JD039992.