849: MiKlip II Module C - Regionalization of Decadal Predictions

Principal investigator: Hendrik Feldmann

Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT), Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung (Community project)

Project abstract

Report 1/2013 to 12/2013
Report 1/2015 to 12/2015
Report 1/2016 to 12/2016

Publications

• Marotzke J. W. A. Müller, F.S.E. Vamborg, P. Becker, U. Cubasch, H. Feldmann, F. Kaspar, Ch. Kottmeier, C. Marini, I. Polkova, K. Prömmel, H.W. Rust, D. Stammer, U. Ulbrich, C. Kadow, A. Köhl, J. Kröger, T. Kruschke, J.G. Pinto, H. Pohlmann, M. Reyers, M. Schröder, F. Sienz, C. Timmreck, and M. Ziese (2016): MiKlip - a National Research Project on Decadal Climate Prediction. BAMS, Early Online Releases.
• Breil, M., G. Schädler, 2016: Quantification of the uncertainties in soil and vegetation parameterizations for regional climate simulations in Europe. Submitted to Journal of Hydrometeorology.
• Moemken J, Reyers M, Buldmann B, Pinto JG (2016): Decadal predictability of regional scale wind speed and wind energy potentials over Central Europe. Tellus A, Vol. 68 (29199).
• Paxian, A., Sein, D., Panitz, H.-J., Warscher, M., Breil, M., Engel, T., Toedter, J., Krause, A., Cabos Narvaez, W. D., Fink, A. H., Ahrens, B., Kunstmann, H., Jacob, D., Paeth, H. (2016): Bias reduction in decadal predictions of West African monsoon rainfall using regional climate models. J J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., Vol. 121 (4), pp. 1715–1735.
• Weimer, M., Mieruch, S., Schädler, G., Kottmeier, Ch. (2016): A new estimator of heat periods for decadal climate predictions – a complex network approach. Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 23, 307-317, doi:10.5194/npg-23-307-2016.
• Mieruch, S., H. Feldmann, G. Schädler, C. J. Lenz, S. Kothe, and Ch. Kottmeier (2014): The Regional MiKlip Decadal Forecast Ensemble for Europe: the Added Value of Downscaling., Geosci. Model Dev., 7(6), 2983-2999, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2983-2014.
• Khodayar S., A. Sehlinger, H. Feldmann and Ch. Kottmeier (2015): Sensitivity of soil moisture initialization for decadal predictions under different regional climatic conditions in Europe, Int. J, Climatol. 35, 1899-1915
• Reyers M, Pinto JG, Moemken J (2015): Statistical-dynamical downscaling for wind energy potentials: evaluation and applications to decadal hindcasts and climate change projections. International Journal of Climatology 35: 229-244. Doi:10.1002/joc.3975
• Paeth, H., Paxian, A., Sein, D., Jacob, D., Panitz, H.-J., Warscher, M., Fink, A., Kunstmann, H., Breil, M., Engel, T., Krause, A., Toedter, J., Ahrens, B. (2015): Decadal and multi-year predictability of the West African monsoon and the role of dynamical downscaling. J. Clim., submitted.
• Mieruch et al., 2015: Decadal prediction of the Effective Drought Index (EDI) for the European continent from 1961 to 2010 -- sensitivity to simulation setup, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, submitted.
• Paxian, A., Sein, D., Panitz, H.-J., Warscher, M., Breil, M., Engel, T., Toedter, J., Krause, A., Cabos Narvaez, W. D., Fink, A. H., Ahrens, B., Kunstmann, H., Jacob, D., Paeth, H. (2015): Bias reduction in decadal predictions of West African monsoon rainfall using regional climate models. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., under Review.
• Mieruch, S., H. Feldmann, G. Schädler, C. J. Lenz, S. Kothe, and Ch. Kottmeier, 2014: The Regional MiKlip Decadal Forecast Ensemble for Europe: the Added Value of Downscaling., Geosci. Model Dev., 7(6), 2983-2999, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2983-2014.
• Khodayar S., A. Sehlinger, H. Feldmann and Ch. Kottmeier, 2015: Sensitivity of soil moisture initialization for decadal predictions under different regional climatic conditions in Europe, Int. J, Climatol. 35, 1899-1915
• S. Mieruch et al., 2015: Decadal prediction of the Effective Drought Index (EDI) for the European continent from 1961 to 2010 -- sensitivity to simulation setup, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, submitted
• Reyers M, Pinto JG, Moemken J (2015): Statistical-dynamical downscaling for wind energy potentials: evaluation and applications to decadal hindcasts and climate change projections. International Journal of Climatology 35: 229-244. Doi:10.1002/joc.3975
• Moemken J, Reyers M, Buldmann B, Pinto JG (2015): Decadal predictability of regional scale wind speed and wind energy potentials over Central Europe. Submitted to Tellus A.
• Paeth, H., Paxian, A., Sein, D., Jacob, D., Panitz, H.-J., Warscher, M., Fink, A., Kunstmann, H., Breil, M., Engel, T., Krause, A., Toedter, J., Ahrens, B. (2015): Decadal and multi-year predictability of the West African monsoon and the role of dynamical downscaling. J. Clim., submitted.
• Mieruch, S., Feldmann, H., Schädler, G., Lenz, C.-J., Kothe, S., and Kottmeier, C. (2013). The regional MiKlip decadal forecast ensemble for Europe. Submitted to GMD.