854: Erdsystemmodellevaluierung (DLR-Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre)

Principal investigator: Axel Lauer

DLR, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre (Community project)

Project abstract

Report 1/2013 to 12/2013
Report 1/2015 to 12/2015
Report 1/2016 to 12/2016
Report 1/2017 to 12/2017
Report 1/2018 to 12/2018
Report 1/2019 to 12/2019
Report 1/2020 to 12/2020
Report 1/2021 to 12/2021
Report 1/2022 to 12/2022
Report 1/2023 to 12/2023
Report 1/2024 to 12/2024
Report 1/2025 to 12/2025
Report 1/2026 to 12/2026

Publications

• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-19-7415-2026, Hoffman, F. M., Hassler, B., Swaminathan, R., Lewis, J., Andela, B., Collier, N., Hegedűs, D., Lee, J., Pascoe, C., Pflüger, M., Stockhause, M., Ullrich, P., Xu, M., Bock, L., Chun, F., Gier, B. K., Kelley, D. I., Lauer, A., Lenhardt, J., Schlund, M., Sreeush, M. G., Weigel, K., Blockley, E., Beadling, R., Beucher, R., Dugassa, D. D., Lembo, V., Lu, J., Brands, S., Tjiputra, J., Malinina, E., Medeiros, B., Scoccimarro, E., Walton, J., Kershaw, P., Lanfer Marquez, A., Roberts, M. J., O’Rourke, E., Dingley, B., Turner, B., Hewitt, H., and Dunne, J. P.: Rapid Evaluation Framework for the CMIP7 Assessment Fast Track, Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 7415-7455, doi: 10.5194/gmd-19-7415-2026, 2026.
• DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-25-0153.1, Bock, Lisa, Axel Lauer, and Jakob Runge. "Quantifying the causal effect of cloud controlling factors on marine stratocumulus clouds." Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2026): e250153.
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-19-8731-2026, Lauer, A., Schlund, M., Bock, L., Hassler, B., Behrens, G., Gier, B., Lindenlaub, L., Lorenz, S., Malles, J.-H., Müller, W. A., van Pham, T., Weigel, K., Zeng, G., and Eyring, V.: An ESMValTool-based framework for sanity checks, physical consistency and climate fidelity during model development - ICONEval v1.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 8731-8754, doi: 10.5194/gmd-19-8731-2026, 2026.
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-4009-2025, Schlund, M., Andela, B., Benke, J., Comer, R., Hassler, B., Hogan, E., Kalverla, P., Lauer, A., Little, B., Loosveldt Tomas, S., Nattino, F., Peglar, P., Predoi, V., Smeets, S., Worsley, S., Yeo, M., and Zimmermann, K.: Advanced climate model evaluation with ESMValTool v2.11.0 using parallel, out-of-core, and distributed computing, Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 4009-4021, doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-4009-2025, 2025.
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-18-1169-2025, Lauer, A., Bock, L., Hassler, B., Jöckel, P., Ruhe, L., and Schlund, M.: Monitoring and benchmarking Earth system model simulations with ESMValTool v2.12.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1169-1188, doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-1169-2025, 2025.
• DOI: 10.5194/acp-24-1587-2024, Bock, L., and Lauer, A.: Cloud properties and their projected changes in CMIP models with low to high climate sensitivity, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 1587-1605, doi: 10.5194/acp-24-1587-2024, 2024.
• DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1518, Lauer, A., Bock, L., Hassler, B., Jöckel, P., Ruhe, L., and Schlund, M.: Monitoring and benchmarking Earth system model simulations with ESMValTool v2.12.0, EGUsphere [preprint], doi: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1518, 2024.
• DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0181.1, Lauer, A., L. Bock, B. Hassler, M. Schröder, and M. Stengel, 2022: Cloud Climatologies from Global Climate Models—A Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models with Satellite Data. J. Climate, 36, 281–311, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0181.1.
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-315-2023, Schlund, Manuel, Birgit Hassler, Axel Lauer, Bouwe Andela, Patrick Joeckel, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Rémi Kazeroni et al. "Evaluation of Native Earth System Model Output with ESMValTool." In AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts, vol. 2022, pp. GC42L-0856. 2022. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-315-2023
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2022-205, Schlund, M., Hassler, B., Lauer, A., Andela, B., Jöckel, P., Kazeroni, R., Loosveldt Tomas, S., Medeiros, B., Predoi, V., Sénési, S., Servonnat, J., Stacke, T., Vegas-Regidor, J., Zimmermann, K., and Eyring, V., Evaluation of Native Earth System Model Output with ESMValTool v2.6.0, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2022-205, in review, 2022.
• DOI: 10.3390/atmos12111462, Hassler, B., and Lauer, A.: Comparison of Reanalysis and Observational Precipitation Datasets Including ERA5 and WFDE5, Atmosphere, 12(11), 1462, doi: 10.3390/atmos12111462, 2021.
• Lauer, A., Bock, L., Hassler, B., Schröder, M., Stengel, M.: Cloud climatologies from global climate models - a comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6 models with satellite data, Journal of Climate (accepted).
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3159-2021, Weigel, K., Bock, L., Gier, B. K., Lauer, A., Righi, M., Schlund, M., Adeniyi, K., Andela, B., Arnone, E., Berg, P., Caron, L.-P., Cionni, I., Corti, S., Drost, N., Hunter, A., Lledó, L., Mohr, W. C., Paçal, A., Pérez-Zanón, N., Predoi, V., Sandstad, M., Sillmann, J., Sterl, A., Vegas-Regidor, J., von Hardenberg, J., and Eyring, V.: Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 - diagnostics for extreme events, regional and impact evaluation, and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 3159-3184, doi: 10.5194/gmd-14-3159-2021, 2021.
• DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020, Schlund, M., Lauer, A., Gentine, P., Sherwood, S. C., and Eyring, V.: Emergent constraints on Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?, Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 1233-1258, doi: 10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020, 2020.
• DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-6115-2020, Gier, B. K., Buchwitz, M., Reuter, M., Cox, P. M., Friedlingstein, P., and Eyring, V.: Spatially resolved evaluation of Earth system models with satellite column-averaged CO2, Biogeosciences, 17, 6115–6144, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-6115-2020, 2020.
• DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021, Tebaldi, C., Debeire, K., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Fyfe, J., Friedlingstein, P., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., O'Neill, B., Sanderson, B., van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K., Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z., Tokarska, K.B., Hurtt, G., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J., Meehl, G., Moss, R., Bauer, S.E., Boucher, O., Brovkin, V., Byun, Y., Dix, M., Gualdi, S., Guo, H., John, J.G., Kharin, S., Kim, Y., Koshiro, T., Ma, L., Olivié, D., Panickal, S., Qiao, F., Rong, X., Rosenbloom, N., Schupfner, M., Séférian, R., Sellar, A., Semmler, T., Shi, X., Song, Z., Steger, C., Stouffer, R., Swart, N., Tachiiri, K., Tang, Q., Tatebe, Q., Voldoire, A., Volodin, E., Wyser, K., Xin, X., Yang, S., Yu, Y., and Ziehn, T.: Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6, Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 253-293, doi: 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021, 2021.
• DOI: 10.1029/2019JD032321, Bock, L., A. Lauer, M. Schlund, M. Barreiro, N. Bellouin, C. Jones, G.A. Meehl, V. Predoi, M.J. Roberts, V. Eyring: Quantifying progress across different CMIP phases with the ESMValTool, J. Geophys. Res. (accepted)
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1179-2020, Righi, M., B. Andela, V. Eyring, A. Lauer, V. Predoi, M. Schlund, J. Vegas-Regidor, L. Bock, B. Brötz, L. de Mora, F. Diblen, L. Dreyer, N. Drost, P. Earnshaw, B. Hassler, N. Koldunov, B. Little, S. Loosveldt Tomas, K. Zimmermann: Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 - technical overview, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 1179-1199, doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-1179-2020, 2020.
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020, Lauer, A., V. Eyring, O. Bellprat, L. Bock, L., B.K. Gier, A. Hunter, R. Lorenz, N. Pérez-Zanón, M. Righi, M. Schlund, D. Senftleben, K. Weigel, K., S. Zechlau: Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 - diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP, Geosci. Model. Dev., 13, 4205-4228, doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020, 2020.
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3383-2020, Eyring, V., L. Bock, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, B. Andela, E. Arnone, O. Bellprat, B. Brötz, L.-P. Caron, N. Carvalhais, I. Cionni, N. Cortesi, B. Crezee, E. Davin, P. Davini, K. Debeire, L. de Mora, C. Deser, D. Docquier, P. Earnshaw, C. Ehbrecht, B.K. Gier, N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, P. Goodman, S. Hagemann, S. Hardiman, B. Hassler, A. Hunter, C. Kadow, S. Kindermann, S. Koirala, N. Koldunov, Q. Lejeune, V. Lembo, T. Lovato, V. Lucarini, F. Massonnet, B. Müller, A. Pandde, N. Pérez-Zanón, A. Phillips, V. Predoi, J. Russell, A. Sellar, F. Serva, T. Stacke, R. Swaminathan, V. Torralba, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg, K. Weigel, K. Zimmermann: Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 - an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 3383-3438, doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-3383-2020, 2020.
• DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2020-244, Weigel, K. L. Bock, B.K. Gier, A. Lauer, M. Righi, M. Schlund, K. Adeniyi, B. Andela, E. Arnone, P. Berg, L.-P. Caron, I. Cionni, S. Corti, N. Drost, A. Hunter, L. Lledó, C. Wilhelm Mohr, A. Paçal, N. Pérez-Zanón, V. Predoi, M. Sandstad, J. Sillmann, A. Sterl, J. Vegas-Regidor, J. von Hardenberg, V. Eyring: Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 - diagnostics for extreme events, regional model and impact evaluation and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., doi: 10.5194/gmd-2020-244, 2020 (in review).
• DOI: 10.1029/2019JD032321, Bock, L., A. Lauer, M. Schlund, M. Barreiro, N. Bellouin, C. Jones, G.A. Meehl, V. Predoi, M.J. Roberts, V. Eyring: Quantifying progress across different CMIP phases with the ESMValTool, J. Geophys. Res. (accepted)
• Gottschaldt, K.-D., Schlager, H., Baumann, R., Cai, D.S., Eyring, V., Graf, P., Grewe, V., Jöckel, P., Jurkat, T., Voigt, C., Zahn, A., Ziereis, H. (2018), Dynamics and composition of the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5655-5675, doi: 10.5194/acp-18-5655-2018.
• Gottschaldt, K.-D., Schlager, H., Baumann, R., Cai, D. S., Eyring, V., Graf, P., Grewe, V., Jöckel, P., Jurkat, T., Voigt, C., Zahn, A., and Ziereis, H.: Dynamics and composition of the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., doi: 10.5194/acp-2017-420, in review, 2017b.
• Gottschaldt, K.-D., Schlager, H., Baumann, R., Bozem, H., Eyring, V., Hoor, P., Jöckel, P., Jurkat, T., Voigt, C., Zahn, A., and Ziereis, H.: Trace gas composition in the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone: a case study based on aircraft observations and model simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 6091-6111, doi: 10.5194/acp-17-6091-2017, 2017a.
• Righi, M., Eyring, V., Gottschaldt, K. D., Klinger, C., Frank, F., Jöckel, P., and Cionni, I.: Quantitative evaluation of ozone and selected climate parameters in a set of EMAC simulations, Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 733-768, 2015.
• Young, P. J., A. T. Archibald, K. W. Bowman, J.-F. Lamarque, V. Naik, D. S. Stevenson, S. Tilmes, A. Voulgarakis, O. Wild, D. Bergmann, P. Cameron-Smith, I. Cionni, W. J. Collins, S. B. Dalsøren, R. M. Doherty, V. Eyring, G. Faluvegi, L. W. Horowitz, B. Josse, Y. H. Lee, I. A. MacKenzie, T. Nagashima, D. A. Plummer, M. Righi, S. T. Rumbold, R. B. Skeie, D. T. Shindell, S. A. Strode, K. Sudo, S. Szopa, and G. Zeng, Pre-industrial to end 21st century projections of tropospheric ozone from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 2063-2090, doi:10.5194/acp-13-2063-2013, 2013.
• Voulgarakis, A., V. Naik, J.-F. Lamarque, D. T. Shindell, P. J. Young, M. J. Prather, O. Wild, R. D. Field, D. Bergmann, P. Cameron-Smith, I. Cionni, W. J. Collins, S. B. Dalsøren, R. M. Doherty, V. Eyring, G. Faluvegi, G. A. Folberth, L. W. Horowitz, B. Josse, I. A. MacKenzie, T. Nagashima, D. A. Plummer, M. Righi, S. T. Rumbold, D. S. Stevenson, S. A. Strode, K. Sudo, S. Szopa, and G. Zeng, Analysis of present day and future OH and methane lifetime in the ACCMIP simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 2563-2587, doi:10.5194/acp-13-2563-2013, 2013.
• Stevenson, D. S., P. J. Young, V. Naik, J.-F. Lamarque, D. T. Shindell, A. Voulgarakis, R. B. Skeie, S. B. Dalsoren, G. Myhre, T. K. Berntsen, G. A. Folberth, S. T. Rumbold, W. J. Collins, I. A. MacKenzie, R. M. Doherty, G. Zeng, T. P. C. van Noije, A. Strunk, D. Bergmann, P. Cameron-Smith, D. A. Plummer, S. A. Strode, L. Horowitz, Y. H. Lee, S. Szopa, K. Sudo, T. Nagashima, B. Josse, I. Cionni, M. Righi, V. Eyring, A. Conley, K. W. Bowman, O. Wild, and A. Archibald, Tropospheric ozone changes, radiative forcing and attribution to emissions in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 3063-3085, doi:10.5194/acp-13-3063-2013, 2013.
• Fiore, A. M., Naik, V., Spracklen, D. V., Steiner, A., Unger, N., Prather, M., Bergmann, D., Cameron- Smith, P. J., Cionni, I., Collins, W. J., Dalsoren, S., Eyring, V., Folberth, G. A., Ginoux, P., Horowitz, L. W., Josse, B., Lamarque, J.-F., MacKenzie, I. A., Nagashima, T., O'Connor, F. M., Righi, M., Rumbold, S. T., Shindell, D. T., Skeie, R. B., Sudo, K., Szopa, S., Takemura, T., and Zeng, G., Global air quality and climate, Chem. Soc. Rev., DOI: 10.1039/C2CS35095E, 2012.
• Lamarque, J.-F., D. T. Shindell, B. Josse, P. J. Young, I. Cionni, V. Eyring, D. Bergmann, P. Cameron- Smith, W. J. Collins, R. Doherty, S. Dalsoren, G. Faluvegi, G. Folberth, S. J. Ghan, L. W. Horowitz, Y. H. Lee, I. A. MacKenzie, T. Nagashima, V. Naik, D. Plummer, M. Righi, S. T. Rumbold, M. Schulz, R. B. Skeie, D. S. Stevenson, S. Strode, K. Sudo, S. Szopa, A. Voulgarakis, and G. Zeng, The Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP): overview and description of models, simulations and climate diagnostics, Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 179-206, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-179-2013, 2013.
• Naik, V., A. Voulgarakis, A. M. Fiore, L. W. Horowitz, J.-F. Lamarque, M. Lin, M. J. Prather, P. J. Young, D. Bergmann, P. J. Cameron-Smith, I. Cionni, W. J. Collins, S. B. Dalsøren, R. Doherty, V. Eyring, G. Faluvegi, G. A. Folberth, B. Josse, Y. H. Lee, I. A. MacKenzie, T. Nagashima, T. P. C. van Noije, D. A. Plummer, M. Righi, S. T. Rumbold, R. Skeie, D. T. Shindell, D. S. Stevenson, S. Strode, K. Sudo, S. Szopa, and G. Zeng, Preindustrial to present-day changes in tropospheric hydroxyl radical and methane lifetime from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 5277-5298, doi:10.5194/acp-13-5277-2013, 2013.
• Silva, R. A., J. J. West, Y. Zhang, S. C. Anenberg, J.-F. Lamarque, D. T. Shindell, W. J. Collins, S. Dalsoren, G. Faluvegi, G. Folberth, L. W. Horowitz, T. Nagashima, V. Naik, S. Rumbold, R. Skeie, K. Sudo, T. Takemura, D. Bergmann, P. Cameron-Smith, I. Cionni, R. M. Doherty, V. Eyring, B. Josse, I. A. MacKenzie, D. Plummer, M. Righi, D. S. Stevenson, S. Strode, S. Szopa, and G. Zeng, Global premature mortality due to anthropogenic outdoor air pollution and the contribution of past climate change, Environ. Res. Lett., 8 034005, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034005, 2013.