873: Working group on seasonal prediction
closed project
Principal investigator: Johanna Baehr
Universität Hamburg, Institut für Meereskunde (Community project)
Project abstract
Report 1/2013 to 12/2013
Report 1/2015 to 12/2015
Report 1/2016 to 12/2016
Publications
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Baehr, J.; Fröhlich, K.; Botzet, M.; Domeisen, D.I.V.; Kornblueh, L.; Notz, D.; Piontek, R.; Pohlmann, H.; Tietsche, S.; Müller, W.A.. “The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPI-ESM coupled climate model”. Climate Dynamics 44 (9-10). (2015): S. 2723-2735. doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2399-7
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Bunzel, F.; Notz, D.; Baehr, J.; Müller, W.A.; Fröhlich, K.. “Seasonal climate forecasts significantly affected by observational uncertainty of Arctic sea ice concentration”. Geophysical Research Letters 43 (2). (2016): S. 852-859. doi: 10.1002/2015GL066928
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Butler, A.H.; Arribas, A.; Athanassiadou, M.; Baehr, J.; Calvo, N.; Charlton-Perez, A.; Déqué, M.; Domeisen, D.I.V.; Fröhlich, K.; Hendon, H.; Imada, Y.; Ishii, M.; Iza, M.; Karpechko, A.Y.; Kumar, A.; MacLachlan, C.; Merryfield, W.J.; Müller, W.A.; O'Neill, A.; Scaife, A.A.; Scinocca, J.; Sigmond, M.; Stockdale, T.N.; Yasuda, T.. “The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter?”. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 142 (696). (2016): S. 1413-1427. doi: 10.1002/qj.2743
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Domeisen, D.I.V.; Butler, A.H.; Fröhlich, K.; Bittner, M.; Müller, W.A.; Baehr, J.. “Seasonal Predictability over Europe Arising from El Niño and Stratospheric Variability in the MPI-ESM Seasonal Prediction System ”. Journal of Climate 28. (2015): S. 256-271. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00207.1
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Baehr, J., Fröhlich, K., Botzet, M., Domeisen, D., Kornblueh, L., Notz, D., Piontek, R., Pohlmann, H., Tietsche, S., & Mueller, W. A. (2014). The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPIESM coupled climate model. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2399-7.
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Domeisen, D., Butler, A., Fröhlich, K., Bittner, M., Mueller, W. A., & Baehr, J. (2015). Seasonal predictability over Europe arising from El Niño and stratospheric variability in the MPI-ESM seasonal prediction system. Journal of Climate, 28, 256-271. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00207.1.